Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 21.798248 25.262680 29.036461 33.444166 38.442291 43.924997 50.385542
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 15.706492 20.374966 25.976627 33.152759 42.057086 52.694603 66.311931
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 11.853934 16.844430 23.313415 32.223504 44.072534 59.170222 79.724465
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 9.600244 14.731499 21.826077 32.197901 46.787039 66.357890 94.327810
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 8.055951 13.230185 20.799946 32.451760 49.645918 73.735356 109.588680
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.352252 11.150299 18.566100 30.560655 49.085302 76.121055 117.910444
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.657912 10.508324 18.359803 31.593965 52.815073 84.837217 135.874848
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.210979 10.187759 18.587103 33.277006 57.629842 95.472754 157.425568
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.414036 9.116137 17.411403 32.493833 58.381355 99.851436 169.640823
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.642816 7.954063 15.907146 30.939450 57.644181 101.721692 177.924669
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.482194 7.936997 16.441079 32.996124 63.179796 114.129015 203.999829
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.434231 8.135648 17.389330 35.881803 70.379608 129.768501 236.382539
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.052132 7.605226 16.931092 36.209765 73.248683 138.635328 258.666769
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.628330 6.914345 16.073969 35.699393 74.587670 145.062516 277.465932
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.223979 6.185755 15.026875 34.667980 74.812005 149.487382 293.039506
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.959195 5.735969 14.504204 34.632996 76.936819 157.489023 315.532849
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.751800 5.387138 14.150796 34.902449 79.671400 166.795512 341.006680
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.431225 4.668867 12.831972 32.883154 77.490183 166.535044 348.552884
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.331658 4.538796 12.897144 33.986382 81.962712 179.511466 382.101130
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.275931 4.524362 13.245459 35.782866 88.079688 196.154490 423.760212
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.101832 4.115532 12.526275 34.946974 88.319799 200.942545 442.399723
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.918405 3.630929 11.526151 33.287557 86.525667 201.382517 452.328531
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.902812 3.695326 12.033394 35.483090 93.799197 221.287817 502.982729